U.S. Inflation Cools But Job Losses Raise Recession Questions
📌full story 👉
https://v.social/s/NyUzkdm
The latest U.S. economic data is sending mixed signals.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, inflation held steady at 2.4% in February 2026, close to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Monthly prices rose 0.3%, while core inflation remained at 2.5%.
Housing costs continue to drive inflation, with shelter prices rising 0.2%, while energy markets showed volatility with fuel oil jumping 11.1%.
But the labour market delivered a surprise.
The U.S. economy lost around 92,000 jobs in February, and unemployment ticked up to 4.4%, suggesting hiring momentum may be slowing after years of strong job growth.
Job losses were concentrated in health care, technology, and federal government employment.
Wages are still rising at roughly 3.8% year-over-year, meaning incomes are still outpacing inflation for now.
Markets are watching closely.
Prediction market Polymarket currently places the probability of a U.S. recession in 2026 at around 29%, reflecting growing uncertainty about where the economy is heading.
With inflation cooling but the labour market softening, the Federal Reserve faces a delicate balancing act between controlling inflation and avoiding a slowdown.
The big question now:
Is the U.S. heading for a soft landing… or the early stages of a recession?
#Economy #Inflation #JobsReport #FederalReserve #Recession #USMarkets #Finance #FomoDaily
